Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.064782 0.072984 0.081335 0.090443 0.100070 0.109917 0.120724
2025-09-28 0.051931 0.064045 0.076934 0.091537 0.107506 0.124330 0.143292
2025-10-05 0.047482 0.062629 0.079259 0.098594 0.120200 0.143381 0.169921
2025-10-12 0.039703 0.056329 0.075202 0.097714 0.123403 0.151432 0.183982
2025-10-19 0.034934 0.052874 0.073829 0.099359 0.128977 0.161715 0.200140
2025-10-26 0.030354 0.049121 0.071679 0.099728 0.132773 0.169734 0.213529
2025-11-02 0.027068 0.046619 0.070742 0.101271 0.137711 0.178869 0.228016
2025-11-09 0.023640 0.043583 0.068880 0.101480 0.140902 0.185853 0.239929
2025-11-16 0.019429 0.039060 0.064826 0.098745 0.140377 0.188358 0.246555
2025-11-23 0.015859 0.035035 0.061119 0.096198 0.139878 0.190730 0.252883
2025-11-30 0.014119 0.033500 0.060562 0.097502 0.143954 0.198403 0.265288
2025-12-07 0.012795 0.032459 0.060574 0.099461 0.148776 0.206916 0.278641
2025-12-14 0.012002 0.032282 0.061875 0.103254 0.156093 0.218677 0.296148
2025-12-21 0.010472 0.030740 0.061196 0.104437 0.160179 0.226621 0.309247
2025-12-28 0.010893 0.032569 0.065336 0.112001 0.172271 0.244200 0.333729
2026-01-04 0.008995 0.030089 0.063143 0.111059 0.173614 0.248797 0.342851
2026-01-11 0.007983 0.029078 0.063013 0.112820 0.178326 0.257430 0.356727
2026-01-18 0.006770 0.027496 0.061928 0.113214 0.181247 0.263853 0.367947
2026-01-25 0.005953 0.026586 0.061795 0.114865 0.185742 0.272171 0.381409
2026-02-01 0.004954 0.025103 0.060680 0.115089 0.188349 0.278142 0.392036
2026-02-08 0.003572 0.022378 0.057412 0.112163 0.186761 0.278862 0.396275
2026-02-15 0.002465 0.019917 0.054381 0.109436 0.185332 0.279705 0.400600
2026-02-22 0.002044 0.019221 0.054242 0.110832 0.189313 0.287248 0.413010